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DTSTART:19700329T020000
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CLASS:PUBLIC
SUMMARY:27th Käte Hamburger Lecture 
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20171122T183000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20171122T200000
DTSTAMP:20171122T183000Z
LOCATION;ENCODING=QUOTED-PRINTABLE:Campus Campus Duisburg : LS 105
CONTACT:Frau  Juliana Fischer  (Käte Hamburger Kolleg/Centre for Global Cooperation Research)
DESCRIPTION:Frau  Juliana Fischer  (Käte Hamburger Kolleg/Centre for Global Cooperation Research)
27th Käte Hamburger Lecture 
Age Structures and State Behaviour: Political Demographer's Guide to the Future in National and International Politics
In the 27th Käte Hamburger Lecture, Dr Richard Cincotta, will present a Political Demographer's Guide to the Future in National and International Politics by drawing on innovative 'timed statistical forecasts' that analysts of the US National Intelligence Council produced by coupling theories from age-structural political demography with the UN Population Division’s demographic projections. The effort has produced easily-communicated graphical models that can be regenerated and tested, and forecasts that have regularly out-performed conventional analyses by country and regional experts. Although limited in scope, these simple demographic models provide fresh insights into the expected timing of the rise of specific political, social, and economic indicators among modern states—some of which disagree with conventional wisdom.

We kindly ask you to register by 21st November at events@gcr21.uni-due.de

Wednesday, 22. November 2017
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