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Prof. Dr. Florian Ziel

WiWi

Anschrift
Universitätsstr 2
45117 Essen
Raum
R11 T07 C15
Telefon
+49 201 18 3 7608
E-Mail
florian.ziel@uni-due.de
Webseite
https://www.uee.wiwi.uni-due.de/

Funktionen

  • Gruppe der Hochschullehrerinnen und Hochschullehrer, Fakultätsrat

  • Universitätsprofessor/in, Data Science in Energy and Environment

Die folgenden Publikationen sind in der Online-Universitätsbibliographie der Universität Duisburg-Essen verzeichnet. Weitere Informationen finden Sie gegebenenfalls auch auf den persönlichen Webseiten der Person.

    Artikel in Zeitschriften

  • Alberizzi, Andrea; Di Barba, Paolo; Ziel, Florian; Di Barba, Paolo
    Agent based modeling for intraday electricity markets
    In: Opsearch , Jg. 62 2025, Nr. 1, S. 178 – 197
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Zimmermann, Monika; Ziel, Florian
    Efficient mid-term forecasting of hourly electricity load using generalized additive models
    In: Applied Energy , Jg. 388 2025, 125444
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ghelasi, Paul; Ziel, Florian
    From day-ahead to mid and long-term horizons with econometric electricity price forecasting models
    In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , Jg. 217 2025, 115684
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ghelasi, Paul; Ziel, Florian
    Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 40 2024, Nr. 2, S. 581 – 596
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    Multivariate probabilistic CRPS learning with an application to day-ahead electricity prices
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 40 2024, Nr. 4, S. 1568 – 1586
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Hirsch, Simon; Ziel, Florian
    Multivariate simulation-based forecasting for intraday power markets : Modeling cross-product price effects
    In: Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry , Jg. 40 2024, Nr. 6, Special Issue: Energy Finance and Climate Change, S. 1571 – 1595
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Hirsch, Simon; Ziel, Florian
    Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets : Modelling Fundamental Drivers for Location, Shape and Scale of the Price Distribution
    In: The Energy Journal , Jg. 45 2024, Nr. 3, S. 87 – 124
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Sonnenschein, Björn; Johnen, Gregor; Ziel, Florian
    Water Demand Forecasting Based on Online Aggregation for District Meter Areas-Specific Adaption
    The 3rd International Joint Conference on Water Distribution Systems Analysis & Computing and Control for the Water Industry (WDSA/CCWI 2024): 1–4 July 2024; Ferrara, Italy,
    In: Engineering Proceedings , Jg. 69 2024, Nr. 1, 15
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    CRPS learning
    In: Journal of Econometrics , Jg. 237 2023, Nr. 2, Part C, 105221
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Marcjasz, Grzegorz; Narajewski, Michał; Weron, Rafał; Ziel, Florian
    Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 125 2023, 106843
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    High-resolution peak demand estimation using generalized additive models and deep neural networks
    In: Energy and AI , Jg. 13 2023, 100236
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Pappert, Sven; Ziel, Florian; Arsova, Antonia
    Modeling volatility and dependence of European carbon and energy prices
    In: Finance Research Letters , Jg. 52 2023, 103503
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Sonnenschein, Björn; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic Intraday Wastewater Treatment Plant Inflow Forecast Utilizing Rain Forecast Data and Sewer Network Sensor Data
    In: Water Resources Research , Jg. 59 2023, Nr. 11, e2022WR033826
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Sgarlato, Raffaele; Ziel, Florian
    The Role of Weather Predictions in Electricity Price Forecasting Beyond the Day-Ahead Horizon
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (T-PWRS) , Jg. 38 2023, Nr. 3, S. 2500 – 2511
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Oelmann, Mark; Sonnenschein, Björn; Ziel, Florian
    Validierte Daten : Essenzieller Baustein im Datenwertschöpfungsprozess
    In: GWF: Wasser, Abwasser , Jg. 2023 2023, Nr. 2, S. 69 – 74
  • Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Ziel, Florian
    Anticipating special events in emergency department forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 38 2022, Nr. 3, S. 1197 – 1213
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices
    In: Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 41 2022, Nr. 6, S. 1065 – 1086
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Vogler, Arne; Ziel, Florian
    Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts
    In: Forecasting , Jg. 4 2022, Nr. 1, S. 51 – 71
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Petropoulos, Fotios; Apiletti, Daniele; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios; Babai, Mohamed Zied; Barrow, Devon K.; Ben Taieb, Souhaib; Bergmeir, Christoph; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Bijak, Jakub; Boylan, John E.; Browell, Jethro; Carnevale, Claudio; Castle, Jennifer L.; Cirillo, Pasquale; Clements, Michael P.; Cordeiro, Clara; Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz; De Baets, Shari; Dokumentov, Alexander; Ellison, Joanne; Fiszeder, Piotr; Franses, Philip Hans; Frazier, David T.; Gilliland, Michael; Gönül, M. Sinan; Goodwin, Paul; Grossi, Luigi; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; Guidolin, Mariangela; Guidolin, Massimo; Gunter, Ulrich; Guo, Xiaojia; Guseo, Renato; Harvey, Nigel; Hendry, David F.; Hollyman, Ross; Januschowski, Tim; Jeon, Jooyoung; Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Kang, Yanfei; Koehler, Anne B.; Kolassa, Stephan; Kourentzes, Nikolaos; Leva, Sonia; Li, Feng; Litsiou, Konstantia; Makridakis, Spyros; Martin, Gael M.; Martinez, Andrew B.; Meeran, Sheik; Modis, Theodore; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; Önkal, Dilek; Paccagnini, Alessia; Panagiotelis, Anastasios; Panapakidis, Ioannis; Pavía, Jose M.; Pedio, Manuela; Pedregal, Diego J.; Pinson, Pierre; Ramos, Patrícia; Rapach, David E.; Reade, J. James; Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Rubaszek, Michał; Sermpinis, Georgios; Shang, Han Lin; Spiliotis, Evangelos; Syntetos, Aris A.; Talagala, Priyanga Dilini; Talagala, Thiyanga S.; Tashman, Len; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Todini, Ezio; Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón; Wang, Xiaoqian; Winkler, Robert L.; Yusupova, Alisa; Ziel, Florian
    Forecasting : Theory and Practice
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 38 2022, Nr. 3, S. 705 – 871
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Finnah, Benedikt; Gönsch, Jochen; Ziel, Florian
    Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming
    In: European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) , Jg. 301 2022, Nr. 2, S. 726 – 746
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    M5 competition uncertainty : Overdispersion, distributional forecasting, GAMLSS, and beyond
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 38 2022, Nr. 4, S. 1546 – 1554
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions : Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 110 2022, 105974
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation for Short-Term Load Forecasting in IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting : Post-COVID Paradigm
    In: IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy , Jg. 9 2022, S. 202 – 212
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Gonzalez, Paula L. M.; Brayshaw, David J.; Ziel, Florian
    A new approach to extended-range multimodel forecasting : Sequential learning algorithms
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , Jg. 147 2021, Nr. 741, S. 4269 – 4282
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 37 2021, Nr. 2, S. 777 – 799
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    The energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction
    In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences , Jg. 379 2021, Nr. 2202, S. 20190431
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Kulakov, Sergei; Ziel, Florian
    The impact of renewable energy forecasts on intraday electricity prices
    In: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy , Jg. 10 2021, Nr. 1, S. 79 – 104
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Furtwängler, Christian; Weber, Christoph; Ziel, Florian
    Uncertainties in Energy and Electricity Markets : An Introduction
    In: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy , Jg. 10 2021, Nr. 1, S. 1 – 3
  • Narajewski, Michał; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Ziel, Florian
    tsrobprep : An R package for robust preprocessing of time series data
    In: SoftwareX , Jg. 16 2021, 100809
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Changes in Electricity Demand Pattern in Europe Due to COVID-19 Shutdowns
    In: IAEE Energy Forum (formerly: IAEE Newsletter) , Jg. 29 2020, Nr. Covid-19 Special Issue 2020, S. 44 – 47
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices
    In: Journal of Commodity Markets (JCM) , Jg. 19 2020, 100107
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices : Simulating trajectories
    In: Applied Energy , Jg. 279 2020, S. 115801
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Load nowcasting : Predicting actuals with limited data
    In: Energies , Jg. 13 2020, Nr. 6, S. 1443
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic Multi-Step-Ahead Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting with Lasso
    In: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management , Jg. 146 2020, Nr. 10, S. 04020077
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Muniain, Peru; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic forecasting in day-ahead electricity markets : Simulating peak and off-peak prices
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 36 2020, Nr. 4, S. 1193 – 1210
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Estimation and Simulation of the Transaction Arrival Process in Intraday Electricity Markets
    In: Energies , Jg. 12 2019, Nr. 23, S. 4518
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 35 2019, Nr. 4, S. 1400 – 1408
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Haben, Stephen; Giasemidis, Georgios; Ziel, Florian; Arora, Siddharth
    Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage level
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 35 2019, Nr. 4, S. 1469 – 1484
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Steinert, Rick; Ziel, Florian
    Short- to mid-term day-ahead electricity price forecasting using futures
    In: The Energy Journal , Jg. 40 2019, S. 105 – 127
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Weron, Rafał
    Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures : univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 70 2018, S. 396 – 420
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Modeling public holidays in load forecasting: a German case study
    In: Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy (MPCE) , Jg. 6 2018, Nr. 2, S. 191 – 207
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick
    Probabilistic mid- and long-term electricity price forecasting
    In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews , Jg. 94 2018, S. 251 – 266
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    The value of forecasts : Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 76 2018, S. 411 – 423
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Uniejewski, Bartosz; Weron, Rafal; Ziel, Florian
    Variance Stabilizing Transformations for Electricity Spot Price Forecasting
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (T-PWRS) , Jg. 33 2018, Nr. 2, S. 2219 – 2229
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Yunusov, Timur; Haben, Stephen; Lee, Tamsin; Ziel, Florian; Holderbaum, William; Potter, Ben
    Evaluating the effectiveness of storage control in reducing peak demand on low-voltage feeders
    In: CIRED: Open Access Proceedings Journal , Jg. 2017 2017, Nr. 1, S. 1745 – 1749
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick
    Electricity price forecasting using sale and purchase curves: The X-Model
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 59 2016, S. 435 – 454
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices Using Lasso: On Capturing the Autoregressive Intraday Structure
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (T-PWRS) , Jg. 31 2016, Nr. 6, S. 4977 – 4987
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Croonenbroeck, Carsten; Ambach, Daniel
    Forecasting wind power – Modeling periodic and non-linear effects under conditional heteroscedasticity
    In: Applied Energy , Jg. 177 2016, S. 285 – 297
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Iteratively reweighted adaptive lasso for conditional heteroscedastic time series with applications to AR–ARCH type processes
    In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis , Jg. 100 2016, S. 773 – 793
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Liu, Bidong
    Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting , Jg. 32 2016, Nr. 3, S. 1029 – 1037
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick; Husmann, Sven
    Efficient modeling and forecasting of electricity spot prices
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 47 2015, S. 98 – 111
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick; Husmann, Sven
    Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity markets
    In: Energy Economics , Jg. 51 2015, S. 430 – 444
    DOI, Online Volltext (Open Access)

    • Preprints

  • Hirsch, Simon; Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    Online Distributional Regression
    2024
    Online Volltext, DOI (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets : Minimizing Costs in Trade Trajectories
    2020
    Online Volltext, DOI (Open Access)
  • Kulakov, Sergei; Ziel, Florian
    Determining Fundamental Supply and Demand Curves in a Wholesale Electricity Market
    2019
    Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Berk, Kevin
    Multivariate Forecasting Evaluation : On Sensitive and Strictly Proper Scoring Rules
    2019
    Online Volltext (Open Access)

    • Beiträge in Sammelwerken und Tagungsbänden

  • Matsumoto, Takuji; Ziel, Florian
    Electricity Price Forecasting with Principal Component-Guided Sparse Regression
    In: 2024 20th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM) / International Conference on European Electricity Market, EEM, 10-12 June 2024, Istanbul, Turkiye 2024
    DOI
  • Johnen, Gregor; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Niemann, André; Ziel, Florian
    Optimising Water Supply : Application of Probabilistic Deep Neural Networks to Forecast Water Demand in the Short Term
    In: AI in Business and Economics / Lausberg, Isabel; Vogelsang, Michael (Hrsg.) 2024, S. 243 – 256
    DOI (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Modeling the impact of wind and solar power forecasting errors on intraday electricity prices
    In: International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM / 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017; Dresden; Germany; 6 June 2017 through 9 June 2017 2017, S. 7981900
    DOI
  • Ziel, Florian
    Modelling and forecasting electricity load using lasso methods
    In: Proceedings - International Conference on Modern Electric Power Systems, MEPS 2015 / 5th International Conference MEPS'15 Modern Electric Power Systems; 2015.07.06-09; Wroclaw, Poland 2015
    DOI, Online Volltext
  • Ziel, Florian
    Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation of Periodic Autoregressive, Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series
    In: Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications / 12th Workshop onStochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications; February 2015; Wrocław, Poland 2015, S. 207 – 214
    DOI

    • Poster / Posterbeiträge

  • Johnen, Gregor; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Niemann, André; Ziel, Florian
    Incorporating Weather Forecasts into Short-Term Water Demand Prediction using Probabilistic Deep Learning with Long Short-Term Memory Networks
    In: Abstracts & Presentations :: EGU General Assembly 2023 / EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria & Online, 23–28 April 2023 2023, S. EGU23 – 5731
    DOI

    • Vorträge

  • Johnen, Gregor; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Niemann, André; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic water demand forecasting focussing on the impact of climate change and the quantification of uncertainties in the short- and mid-term
    EGU General Assembly 2022; Vienna, Austria; 23–27 May 2022,
    Vienna, Austria 2022
    DOI (Open Access)