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WiWi / IBES
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Universitätsstr 11
45117 Essen
45117 Essen
Raum
R11 T07 C15
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Funktionen
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Juniorprofessor/in, Juniorprofessur für Umweltökonomik, insbesondere Ökonomik erneuerbarer Energien
Aktuelle Veranstaltungen
Keine aktuellen Veranstaltungen.
Vergangene Veranstaltungen (max. 10)
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2022 WS
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2022 SS
Die folgenden Publikationen sind in der Online-Universitätsbibliographie der Universität Duisburg-Essen verzeichnet. Weitere Informationen finden Sie gegebenenfalls auch auf den persönlichen Webseiten der Person.
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High-resolution peak demand estimation using generalized additive models and deep neural networksIn: Energy and AI Jg. 13 (2023)ISSN: 2666-5468Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Modeling volatility and dependence of European carbon and energy pricesIn: Finance Research Letters Jg. 52 (2023)ISSN: 1544-6123; 1544-6131Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Anticipating special events in emergency department forecastingIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 3, S. 1197 - 1213ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas pricesIn: Journal of Forecasting Jg. 41 (2022) Nr. 6, S. 1065 - 1086ISSN: 1099-131X; 0277-6693Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble ForecastsIn: Forecasting Jg. 4 (2022) Nr. 1, S. 51 - 71ISSN: 2571-9394Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Forecasting : Theory and PracticeIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 3, S. 705 - 871ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctionsIn: International Journal of Forecasting (2022) in pressISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programmingIn: European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) Jg. 301 (2022) Nr. 2, S. 726 - 746ISSN: 0377-2217; 1872-6860Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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M5 competition uncertainty : Overdispersion, distributional forecasting, GAMLSS, and beyondIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 4, S. 1546 - 1554ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions : Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costsIn: Energy Economics Jg. 110 (2022)ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation for Short-Term Load Forecasting in IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting : Post-COVID ParadigmIn: IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy Jg. 9 (2022) S. 202 - 212ISSN: 2687-7910Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
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The Role of Weather Predictions in Electricity Price Forecasting Beyond the Day-Ahead HorizonIn: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (2022) in pressISSN: 0885-8950; 1558-0679Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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A new approach to extended-range multimodel forecasting : Sequential learning algorithmsIn: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Jg. 147 (2021) Nr. 741, S. 4269 - 4282ISSN: 1477-870X; 0035-9009Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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CRPS learningIn: Journal of Econometrics (2021) in pressISSN: 1872-6895; 0304-4076Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power marketsIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 37 (2021) Nr. 2, S. 777 - 799ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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The energy distance for ensemble and scenario reductionIn: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Jg. 379 (2021) Nr. 2202, S. 20190431ISSN: 1471-2962; 0080-4614Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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The impact of renewable energy forecasts on intraday electricity pricesIn: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy Jg. 10 (2021) Nr. 1, S. 79 - 104ISSN: 2160-5890; 2160-5882Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Uncertainties in Energy and Electricity Markets : An IntroductionIn: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy Jg. 10 (2021) Nr. 1, S. 1 - 3ISSN: 2160-5890; 2160-5882
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tsrobprep : An R package for robust preprocessing of time series dataIn: SoftwareX Jg. 16 (2021)ISSN: 2352-7110Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
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Changes in Electricity Demand Pattern in Europe Due to COVID-19 ShutdownsIn: IAEE Energy Forum Jg. 29 (2020) Nr. Covid-19 Special Issue 2020, S. 44 - 47ISSN: 1093-4243; 1944-3188
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Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity pricesIn: Journal of Commodity Markets (JCM) Jg. 19 (2020)ISSN: 2405-8513Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices : Simulating trajectoriesIn: Applied Energy Jg. 279 (2020) S. 115801ISSN: 0306-2619Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Load nowcasting : Predicting actuals with limited dataIn: Energies Jg. 13 (2020) Nr. 6, S. 1443ISSN: 1996-1073Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets : Minimizing Costs in Trade TrajectoriesIn: Journal of Commodity Markets (2020) in pressISSN: 2405-8513
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Probabilistic Multi-Step-Ahead Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting with LassoIn: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management Jg. 146 (2020) Nr. 10, S. 04020077ISSN: 0733-9496; 1943-5452Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Probabilistic forecasting in day-ahead electricity markets : Simulating peak and off-peak pricesIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 36 (2020) Nr. 4, S. 1193 - 1210ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Estimation and Simulation of the Transaction Arrival Process in Intraday Electricity MarketsIn: Energies Jg. 12 (2019) Nr. 23, S. 4518ISSN: 1996-1073Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecastingIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 35 (2019) Nr. 4, S. 1400 - 1408ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage levelIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 35 (2019) Nr. 4, S. 1469 - 1484ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Short- to mid-term day-ahead electricity price forecasting using futuresIn: The Energy Journal Jg. 40 (2019) S. 105 - 127ISSN: 0195-6574Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures : univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworksIn: Energy Economics Jg. 70 (2018) S. 396 - 420ISSN: 0140-9883Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Modeling public holidays in load forecasting: a German case studyIn: Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy Jg. 6 (2018) Nr. 2, S. 191 - 207ISSN: 2196-5420; 2196-5625Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Probabilistic mid- and long-term electricity price forecastingIn: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Jg. 94 (2018) S. 251 - 266ISSN: 1879-0690; 1364-0321Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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The value of forecasts : Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecastsIn: Energy Economics Jg. 76 (2018) S. 411 - 423ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Variance Stabilizing Transformations for Electricity Spot Price ForecastingIn: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Jg. 33 (2018) Nr. 2, S. 2219 - 2229ISSN: 0885-8950; 1558-0679Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
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Evaluating the effectiveness of storage control in reducing peak demand on low-voltage feedersIn: CIRED - Open Access Proceedings Journal / 24th International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution, CIRED 2017; Glasgow; United Kingdom; 12 June 2017 through 15 June 2017 Jg. 2017 (2017) Nr. 1, S. 1745 - 1749ISSN: 2515-0855Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Electricity price forecasting using sale and purchase curves: The X-ModelIn: Energy Economics Jg. 59 (2016) S. 435 - 454ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices Using Lasso: On Capturing the Autoregressive Intraday StructureIn: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (T-PWRS) Jg. 31 (2016) Nr. 6, S. 4977 - 4987ISSN: 1558-0679; 0885-8950Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Forecasting wind power – Modeling periodic and non-linear effects under conditional heteroscedasticityIn: Applied Energy Jg. 177 (2016) S. 285 - 297ISSN: 0306-2619; 1872-9118Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Iteratively reweighted adaptive lasso for conditional heteroscedastic time series with applications to AR–ARCH type processesIn: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis Jg. 100 (2016) S. 773 - 793ISSN: 0167-9473; 1872-7352Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecastingIn: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 32 (2016) Nr. 3, S. 1029 - 1037ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Efficient modeling and forecasting of electricity spot pricesIn: Energy Economics Jg. 47 (2015) S. 98 - 111ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity marketsIn: Energy Economics Jg. 51 (2015) S. 430 - 444ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
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Determining Fundamental Supply and Demand Curves in a Wholesale Electricity Market(2019)Online Volltext (Open Access)
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Incorporating Weather Forecasts into Short-Term Water Demand Prediction using Probabilistic Deep Learning with Long Short-Term Memory NetworksIn: Abstracts & Presentations :: EGU General Assembly 2023 / EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria & Online, 23–28 April 2023 (2023) S. EGU23 - 5731Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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Modeling the impact of wind and solar power forecasting errors on intraday electricity pricesIn: International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM / 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017; Dresden; Germany; 6 June 2017 through 9 June 2017 2017, S. 7981900ISBN: 9781509054992 ISSN: 2165-4093; 2165-4077Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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Modelling and forecasting electricity load using lasso methodsIn: Proceedings - International Conference on Modern Electric Power Systems, MEPS 2015 / 5th International Conference MEPS'15 Modern Electric Power Systems; 2015.07.06-09; Wroclaw, Poland 2015ISBN: 9781509031016Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation of Periodic Autoregressive, Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time SeriesIn: Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications / 12th Workshop onStochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications; February 2015; Wrocław, Poland 2015, S. 207 - 214ISBN: 978-3-319-13880-0; 978-3-319-13881-7Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
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Modeling and Probababilistic Forecasting of Natural Gas Prices(2020) 26 S.(Open Access)
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The energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction(2020) 17 S.(Open Access)
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Multivariate Forecasting Evaluation : On Sensitive and Strictly Proper Scoring Rules(2019) 50 S.(Open Access)
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Probabilistic water demand forecasting focussing on the impact of climate change and the quantification of uncertainties in the short- and mid-term
EGU General Assembly 2022; Vienna, Austria; 23–27 May 2022,Vienna, Austria (2022)Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)