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Prof. Dr. Florian Ziel

WiWi / IBES

Anschrift
Universitätsstr 11
45117 Essen
Raum
R11 T07 C15
Telefon
+49 201 18 37608
E-Mail
florian.ziel@uni-due.de
Webseite
https://www.uee.wiwi.uni-due.de/

Funktionen

  • Juniorprofessor/in, Juniorprofessur für Umweltökonomik, insbesondere Ökonomik erneuerbarer Energien

Die folgenden Publikationen sind in der Online-Universitätsbibliographie der Universität Duisburg-Essen verzeichnet. Weitere Informationen finden Sie gegebenenfalls auch auf den persönlichen Webseiten der Person.

    Artikel in Zeitschriften

  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    High-resolution peak demand estimation using generalized additive models and deep neural networks
    In: Energy and AI Jg. 13 (2023)
    ISSN: 2666-5468
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Pappert, Sven; Ziel, Florian; Arsova, Antonia
    Modeling volatility and dependence of European carbon and energy prices
    In: Finance Research Letters Jg. 52 (2023)
    ISSN: 1544-6123; 1544-6131
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Ziel, Florian
    Anticipating special events in emergency department forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 3, S. 1197 - 1213
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices
    In: Journal of Forecasting Jg. 41 (2022) Nr. 6, S. 1065 - 1086
    ISSN: 1099-131X; 0277-6693
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Vogler, Arne; Ziel, Florian
    Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts
    In: Forecasting Jg. 4 (2022) Nr. 1, S. 51 - 71
    ISSN: 2571-9394
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Petropoulos, Fotios; Apiletti, Daniele; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios; Babai, Mohamed Zied; Barrow, Devon K.; Ben Taieb, Souhaib; Bergmeir, Christoph; Bessa, Ricardo J.; Bijak, Jakub; Boylan, John E.; Browell, Jethro; Carnevale, Claudio; Castle, Jennifer L.; Cirillo, Pasquale; Clements, Michael P.; Cordeiro, Clara; Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz; De Baets, Shari; Dokumentov, Alexander; Ellison, Joanne; Fiszeder, Piotr; Franses, Philip Hans; Frazier, David T.; Gilliland, Michael; Gönül, M. Sinan; Goodwin, Paul; Grossi, Luigi; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; Guidolin, Mariangela; Guidolin, Massimo; Gunter, Ulrich; Guo, Xiaojia; Guseo, Renato; Harvey, Nigel; Hendry, David F.; Hollyman, Ross; Januschowski, Tim; Jeon, Jooyoung; Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Kang, Yanfei; Koehler, Anne B.; Kolassa, Stephan; Kourentzes, Nikolaos; Leva, Sonia; Li, Feng; Litsiou, Konstantia; Makridakis, Spyros; Martin, Gael M.; Martinez, Andrew B.; Meeran, Sheik; Modis, Theodore; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; Önkal, Dilek; Paccagnini, Alessia; Panagiotelis, Anastasios; Panapakidis, Ioannis; Pavía, Jose M.; Pedio, Manuela; Pedregal, Diego J.; Pinson, Pierre; Ramos, Patrícia; Rapach, David E.; Reade, J. James; Rostami-Tabar, Bahman; Rubaszek, Michał; Sermpinis, Georgios; Shang, Han Lin; Spiliotis, Evangelos; Syntetos, Aris A.; Talagala, Priyanga Dilini; Talagala, Thiyanga S.; Tashman, Len; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis; Todini, Ezio; Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón; Wang, Xiaoqian; Winkler, Robert L.; Yusupova, Alisa; Ziel, Florian
    Forecasting : Theory and Practice
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 3, S. 705 - 871
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ghelasi, Paul; Ziel, Florian
    Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions
    In: International Journal of Forecasting (2022) in press
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
  • Finnah, Benedikt; Gönsch, Jochen; Ziel, Florian
    Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming
    In: European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) Jg. 301 (2022) Nr. 2, S. 726 - 746
    ISSN: 0377-2217; 1872-6860
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    M5 competition uncertainty : Overdispersion, distributional forecasting, GAMLSS, and beyond
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 38 (2022) Nr. 4, S. 1546 - 1554
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions : Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 110 (2022)
    ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation for Short-Term Load Forecasting in IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting : Post-COVID Paradigm
    In: IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy Jg. 9 (2022) S. 202 - 212
    ISSN: 2687-7910
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Sgarlato, Raffaele; Ziel, Florian
    The Role of Weather Predictions in Electricity Price Forecasting Beyond the Day-Ahead Horizon
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (2022) in press
    ISSN: 0885-8950; 1558-0679
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
  • Gonzalez, Paula L. M.; Brayshaw, David J.; Ziel, Florian
    A new approach to extended-range multimodel forecasting : Sequential learning algorithms
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Jg. 147 (2021) Nr. 741, S. 4269 - 4282
    ISSN: 1477-870X; 0035-9009
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    CRPS learning
    In: Journal of Econometrics (2021) in press
    ISSN: 1872-6895; 0304-4076
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 37 (2021) Nr. 2, S. 777 - 799
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    The energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction
    In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences Jg. 379 (2021) Nr. 2202, S. 20190431
    ISSN: 1471-2962; 0080-4614
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Kulakov, Sergei; Ziel, Florian
    The impact of renewable energy forecasts on intraday electricity prices
    In: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy Jg. 10 (2021) Nr. 1, S. 79 - 104
    ISSN: 2160-5890; 2160-5882
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Furtwängler, Christian; Weber, Christoph; Ziel, Florian
    Uncertainties in Energy and Electricity Markets : An Introduction
    In: Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy Jg. 10 (2021) Nr. 1, S. 1 - 3
    ISSN: 2160-5890; 2160-5882
  • Narajewski, Michał; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Ziel, Florian
    tsrobprep : An R package for robust preprocessing of time series data
    In: SoftwareX Jg. 16 (2021)
    ISSN: 2352-7110
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Changes in Electricity Demand Pattern in Europe Due to COVID-19 Shutdowns
    In: IAEE Energy Forum Jg. 29 (2020) Nr. Covid-19 Special Issue 2020, S. 44 - 47
    ISSN: 1093-4243; 1944-3188
    Online Volltext
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices
    In: Journal of Commodity Markets (JCM) Jg. 19 (2020)
    ISSN: 2405-8513
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices : Simulating trajectories
    In: Applied Energy Jg. 279 (2020) S. 115801
    ISSN: 0306-2619
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Load nowcasting : Predicting actuals with limited data
    In: Energies Jg. 13 (2020) Nr. 6, S. 1443
    ISSN: 1996-1073
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets : Minimizing Costs in Trade Trajectories
    In: Journal of Commodity Markets (2020) in press
    ISSN: 2405-8513
    Online Volltext
  • Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic Multi-Step-Ahead Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting with Lasso
    In: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management Jg. 146 (2020) Nr. 10, S. 04020077
    ISSN: 0733-9496; 1943-5452
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Muniain, Peru; Ziel, Florian
    Probabilistic forecasting in day-ahead electricity markets : Simulating peak and off-peak prices
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 36 (2020) Nr. 4, S. 1193 - 1210
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Narajewski, Michał; Ziel, Florian
    Estimation and Simulation of the Transaction Arrival Process in Intraday Electricity Markets
    In: Energies Jg. 12 (2019) Nr. 23, S. 4518
    ISSN: 1996-1073
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 35 (2019) Nr. 4, S. 1400 - 1408
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Haben, Stephen; Giasemidis, Georgios; Ziel, Florian; Arora, Siddharth
    Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage level
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 35 (2019) Nr. 4, S. 1469 - 1484
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Steinert, Rick; Ziel, Florian
    Short- to mid-term day-ahead electricity price forecasting using futures
    In: The Energy Journal Jg. 40 (2019) S. 105 - 127
    ISSN: 0195-6574
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Weron, Rafał
    Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures : univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 70 (2018) S. 396 - 420
    ISSN: 0140-9883
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Modeling public holidays in load forecasting: a German case study
    In: Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy Jg. 6 (2018) Nr. 2, S. 191 - 207
    ISSN: 2196-5420; 2196-5625
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick
    Probabilistic mid- and long-term electricity price forecasting
    In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Jg. 94 (2018) S. 251 - 266
    ISSN: 1879-0690; 1364-0321
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Kath, Christopher; Ziel, Florian
    The value of forecasts : Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 76 (2018) S. 411 - 423
    ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Uniejewski, Bartosz; Weron, Rafal; Ziel, Florian
    Variance Stabilizing Transformations for Electricity Spot Price Forecasting
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Jg. 33 (2018) Nr. 2, S. 2219 - 2229
    ISSN: 0885-8950; 1558-0679
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ Online Volltext (Open Access)
  • Yunusov, Timur; Haben, Stephen; Lee, Tamsin; Ziel, Florian; Holderbaum, William; Potter, Ben
    Evaluating the effectiveness of storage control in reducing peak demand on low-voltage feeders
    In: CIRED - Open Access Proceedings Journal / 24th International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution, CIRED 2017; Glasgow; United Kingdom; 12 June 2017 through 15 June 2017 Jg. 2017 (2017) Nr. 1, S. 1745 - 1749
    ISSN: 2515-0855
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick
    Electricity price forecasting using sale and purchase curves: The X-Model
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 59 (2016) S. 435 - 454
    ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices Using Lasso: On Capturing the Autoregressive Intraday Structure
    In: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (T-PWRS) Jg. 31 (2016) Nr. 6, S. 4977 - 4987
    ISSN: 1558-0679; 0885-8950
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Croonenbroeck, Carsten; Ambach, Daniel
    Forecasting wind power – Modeling periodic and non-linear effects under conditional heteroscedasticity
    In: Applied Energy Jg. 177 (2016) S. 285 - 297
    ISSN: 0306-2619; 1872-9118
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    Iteratively reweighted adaptive lasso for conditional heteroscedastic time series with applications to AR–ARCH type processes
    In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis Jg. 100 (2016) S. 773 - 793
    ISSN: 0167-9473; 1872-7352
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Liu, Bidong
    Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting
    In: International Journal of Forecasting Jg. 32 (2016) Nr. 3, S. 1029 - 1037
    ISSN: 0169-2070; 1872-8200
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick; Husmann, Sven
    Efficient modeling and forecasting of electricity spot prices
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 47 (2015) S. 98 - 111
    ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Steinert, Rick; Husmann, Sven
    Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity markets
    In: Energy Economics Jg. 51 (2015) S. 430 - 444
    ISSN: 0140-9883; 1873-6181
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)

    • Aufsätze

  • Kulakov, Sergei; Ziel, Florian
    Determining Fundamental Supply and Demand Curves in a Wholesale Electricity Market
    (2019)
    Online Volltext (Open Access)

    • Abstracts

  • Johnen, Gregor; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Niemann, André; Ziel, Florian
    Incorporating Weather Forecasts into Short-Term Water Demand Prediction using Probabilistic Deep Learning with Long Short-Term Memory Networks
    In: Abstracts & Presentations :: EGU General Assembly 2023 / EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria & Online, 23–28 April 2023 (2023) S. EGU23 - 5731
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/

    • Beiträge in Sammelwerken und Tagungsbänden

  • Ziel, Florian
    Modeling the impact of wind and solar power forecasting errors on intraday electricity prices
    In: International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM / 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017; Dresden; Germany; 6 June 2017 through 9 June 2017 2017, S. 7981900
    ISBN: 9781509054992 ISSN: 2165-4093; 2165-4077
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
  • Ziel, Florian
    Modelling and forecasting electricity load using lasso methods
    In: Proceedings - International Conference on Modern Electric Power Systems, MEPS 2015 / 5th International Conference MEPS'15 Modern Electric Power Systems; 2015.07.06-09; Wroclaw, Poland 2015
    ISBN: 9781509031016
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/
  • Ziel, Florian
    Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation of Periodic Autoregressive, Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series
    In: Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications / 12th Workshop onStochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications; February 2015; Wrocław, Poland 2015, S. 207 - 214
    ISBN: 978-3-319-13880-0; 978-3-319-13881-7
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/

    • Working Paper

  • Berrisch, Jonathan; Ziel, Florian
    Modeling and Probababilistic Forecasting of Natural Gas Prices
    (2020) 26 S.
    (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian
    The energy distance for ensemble and scenario reduction
    (2020) 17 S.
    (Open Access)
  • Ziel, Florian; Berk, Kevin
    Multivariate Forecasting Evaluation : On Sensitive and Strictly Proper Scoring Rules
    (2019) 50 S.
    (Open Access)

    • Vorträge

  • Johnen, Gregor; Kley-Holsteg, Jens; Niemann, André; Ziel, Florian;
    Probabilistic water demand forecasting focussing on the impact of climate change and the quantification of uncertainties in the short- and mid-term
    EGU General Assembly 2022; Vienna, Austria; 23–27 May 2022,
    Vienna, Austria (2022)
    Online Volltext: dx.doi.org/ (Open Access)